Well the
solstice has passed and for those of us in the southern hemisphere that means
summer is on its way. Those at forty degrees latitude south will have to wait a
little longer than most but summer is good news. On the topic of good news it
is timely to review some recent highlights.
Despite the best
efforts of some parties common sense prevailed and the country did no implode,
Russian speakers were not massacred, the Nazi’s didn’t take over, and the
country held credible elections that delivered a clear mandate. Russia
placed considerable psychological pressure on Ukraine
but there was no wholesale invasion or annexation of the Eastern part of the
country. Crimea was taken in a largely bloodless
intervention but frankly Russia
had no choice. The alternative would be to risk NATO tanks within driving
distance of the Black Sea fleet. No rational state would
allow that and the world will live with it and move on. Ukraine
now has the opportunity to make friends east and west and that is a good thing
for everyone.
Let me put this
in context. Indonesia ’s
first president was a communist sympathiser who was ousted in a military coup
in 1965. Following the coup anyone deemed or considered a communist was fair
game and anywhere from a hundred thousand to half a million people were
massacred. Thirty years of “guided democracy” followed under the Suharto
regime. I was in Indonesia
shortly before the revolution and wrote about it in my book. Would the army
side with Suharto? Would Muslim extremists take over? Could the country
transition to democracy? Could traditional values of respectful dialogue and
consensus hold the country together? What would happen to minorities? Could
democracy work in a developing country spread across 13000 islands with
literally hundreds of languages? No one knew but they knew things were going to
change.
- a branch office
and branch in every province;
- a branch office
and branch at least 75 per cent of the regencies or municipalities in
every province; and
- at least one third
of each party's candidates must be female.
This ensured
broad based representation and militates against factional and regional
favouritism. The logistical challenge of running an election in a far flung
developing country is vast but they are happening well enough to deliver
legitimate outcomes.
Solar eclipses coal and nuclear
It’s pretty much
all good news. Solar power was always a matter of scale. The more panels are
built the cheaper each unit becomes. As India
and China come
on board scales of manufacture drive down price. Nuclear carries enormous fixed
costs and can only be made economic by not counting externality costs like
managing toxic waste for the next 10,000 years, ignoring the cost of nuclear
accidents, or the sunk R&D cost which includes the still classified cost of
the Manhattan project. The more coal, oil and gas are burned the less remains
and the higher the price of making electricity becomes. A tipping point is
reached when solar becomes cheaper than coal/gas/nuclear.
That point has
been reached. Solar in the USA
is now competing directly with conventional electricity on price. India
is poised to install the world’s largest solar plant. Germany
generates half of its domestic electricity from solar. Australia ’s
three million home solar installations are now outbidding coal electricity
during times of peak demand – when the sun is shining and everyone turns on
their air conditioners. Naturally vested interests are not taking this lying
down and have attempted through their proxies to dismantle Australia ’s
renewable energy policy. The first attempt has been blocked in the Senate by,
of all things, a motoring enthusiast and a maverick billionaire mining magnate.
Gotta love this country.
Controversial
locally but significant globally, the WHA extension completes a process begun
when the Tasmanian forest campaign began in 1973. The first WHA in Tasmania
came into being a decade later in 1983 following the campaign to save the Franklin
River . It covers hundreds of
kilometres of mountains, lakes, grassy plains, glacial remains, forest pockets,
and stunning wild coasts. Excluded from the WHA were the ancient wilderness
forests of the glacial river valleys to the east. Instead the boundary was
drawn at the climactic tree line and snaked crazily around the hills and
valleys. Thirty years later the WHA extension simply put back what remains of
what should have been included in 1983.
However in a
public admission that logging was degrading the area the federal government
made a submission to the World Heritage Committee arguing that almost half the
extension was too degraded to be included. This flew in the face of the fact
that the world heritage system of international agreement allows for
rehabilitation of damaged sites, and the degraded area was small. It did
however risk a precedent that would have undermined the integrity of the world
heritage system and placed at risk sites that are under pressure including the Great
Barrier Reef . The Committee saw the submission for what it was and
spent approximately seven minutes throwing it out – a humiliating and well deserved
diplomatic defeat. See further here: http://theconversation.com/tasmanias-world-heritage-debate-needs-to-look-beyond-the-trees-28183
The forest debate
isn’t over but this is the heart – the core areas that the environmental
movement has been fighting for over thirty years. The forest industry is a mess
and management of both the industry and the new reserves face significant
challenges. Never-the-less the WHA has held and this is good news.
The EU Bans bee killing insecticides
The worlds’ bees
are declining as neonicotinoids and
other chemical herbicides and pesticides build up through the food chain. While
farmers gain temporary benefits from chemical use there is a longer term risk
of killing the soil ecology on which all farming ultimately depends. Recent
chemical bans by the EU provides helpful leadership to developing countries and
pushes back on Monsanto.
Tony
Abbott does something good
Finding something good to say about Abbott
was a significant challenge but I found three things:
- we are
buying off-the-shelf submarines rather than building our, own saving
around $30 billion over thirty years, plus the subs will actually work.
- the schools
chaplaincy program is continuing. To people who harbour a deep personal
angst at the thought that someone somewhere might come to faith or
discover their religious and cultural heritage this terrible. In reality
though the program has been embraced by people of all persuasions and the
response from parents has been overwhelmingly positive. Thus far it has
lent a listening ear to students and has not become a vehicle for pushing
fundamentalist religion.
- the
program of one year military enrolment has been re-started. This isn’t
everyone’s cup of tea. However having grown up in a working class/welfare
suburb I can attest that this program will provide a bridge to employment
and a better life for many young men who don’t want to sign up to the
armed forces long term.
If anyone else wants to share some good news
feel free.